Map of JNIM and ISSP activity in Benin, Niger and Nigeria borderlands

“๐—”๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐˜€
New analysis of data shows how militant networks are expanding southward from the Sahel into the borderlands of Benin, Niger, and Nigeria. Limited state presence, weak border control, and fragmented bandit and hunter groups leave space for expansion.

Forest belts offer concealment, mobility, and staging grounds, while overlapping transborder networks and a diverse ethnic mosaic provide fertile ground for recruitment. Sahelian factions like JNIM and ISSP are pushing southward, as Nigerian groupsโ€”Ansaru, ISWAP, and Mahmudaโ€”relocate, form cells, and cooperate tactically.

Most operate clandestinely, with JNIM alone broadcasting its presence. Control over illicit trade routes could strengthen their holdโ€”over time these groups may extend their reach into population centers like Gaya, Malanville, Birnin Kebbi, Sokoto, and Kaduna.”

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